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The Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly election was held on April 23, 2019.
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The following parties are contesting the Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly election in 2019:
Party Name Leader Leader's Riding Result?
Prince Edward Island Liberal Association Wade MacLauchlan York-Oyster Bed
(contesting Stanhope-Marshfield)
DEFEATED
Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island Dennis King Not in Parliament
(contesting Brackley-Hunter River)
ELECTED
Green Party of Prince Edward Island Peter Bevan-Baker New Haven-Rocky Point ELECTED 
New Democratic Party of Prince Edward Island Joe Byrne Not in Parliament
(contesting Charlottetown-Victoria Park)
DEFEATED
Independents Bush Dumville West-Royalty Springvale
(contesting Charlottetown-West Royalty)
DEFEATED

Incorrect Results in italics.

Seat Name Region KJ's Prediction Result
1. Souris-Elmira Cardigan PC PC
2. Georgetown-Pownal Cardigan PC PC
3. Montague-Kilmuir Cardigan Green (Gain) PC
4. Belfast-Murray River Cardigan PC PC
5. Mermaid-Stratford Cardigan PC (Gain) Green (Gain)
6. Stratford-Keppoch Cardigan PC PC
7. Morell-Donagh Cardigan PC PC
8. Stanhope-Marshfield Charlottetown Liberal PC (Gain)
9. Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park Charlottetown Election Postponed
10. Charlottetown-Winsloe Charlottetown Liberal Liberal
11. Charlottetown-Belvedere Charlottetown Green Green
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Charlottetown Green (Gain) Green (Gain)
13. Charlottetown-Brighton Charlottetown Green (Gain) Green (Gain)
14. Charlottetown-West Royalty Charlottetown Green (Gain) Green (Gain)
15. Brackley-Hunter River Charlottetown PC (Gain) PC (Gain)
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank Malpeque Green (Gain) Liberal
17. New Haven-Rocky Point Malpeque Green Green
18. Rustico-Emerald Malpeque Green (Gain) PC
19. Borden-Kinkora Malpeque PC PC
20. Kensington-Malpeque Malpeque PC PC
21. Summerside-Wilmot Egmont Green (Gain) Green (Gain)
22. Summerside-South Drive Egmont Green (Gain) Green (Gain)
23. Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke Egmont Liberal Green (Gain)
24. Evangeline-Miscouche Egmont Liberal Liberal
25. O'Leary-Inverness Egmont Liberal Liberal
26. Alberton-Bloomfield Egmont Liberal PC (Gain)
27. Tignish-Palmer Road Egmont Green (Gain) Liberal


Overall Prediction: Greens Largest Party, Minority Gov't TBD
RESULT: Minority Government, PC's Largest Party
18/26 districts correctly called or 73.08%
Liberal PC Green NDP Independent
Actual: 5 Actual: 12 Actual: 9 Actual: 0 Actual: 0
Predicted 6 Predicted 9 Predicted 11 Predicted  0 Predicted 0
Assessment: Although it wasn't until far late in the season, polls did not indicate that the PCs would form the largest party, and even then, only one poll got it fairly close. In the end, the traditional dynamic held, with the Liberals defeated after three terms and the PC's brought back to power. The Greens though still turned in their best performance in any province, and secured official opposition status, a first. Also a first in over 100 years? PEI voters did give control of the government to the PCs (no, that's not the first here), but only as a minority government. It'll be interesting how this dynamic works out.

Note: The Green candidate for Riding 9 (Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park) unexpectedly passed away on April 19, 2019. As such, that riding's election is postponed until a later date, not to exceed three months past the date of the death of candidate. The prediction table above has also been adjusted. My thoughts and prayers are with the Underhay family. - KEJ
Copyright 2019 by Kort Jackson for kortjackson.org. All rights to original content reserved.
Image of New Glasgow, PEI (Hunter River) is by Chensiyuan (from English Wikipedia) and is under a CC 3.0 SA license.
Image of Shield of the Arms of Prince Edward Island is a "public domain creation", details here.
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