Welcome
to the House of Representatives prediction page. Predictions are listed
by state, with gains listed in bold. Number in parenthesis indicates
total seats predicted for each party per state.
Results not called correctly will be listed in the "Incorrect" column
Results not called correctly will be listed in the "Incorrect" column
| House of Representatives Predictions | |||
| State | Held by GOP after 2018 election | Held by Dems after 2018 election | Incorrect |
| Alabama (7) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 (6) | 7 (1) | None |
| Alaska (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Arizona (9) | 4, 5, 6, 8 (4) | 1, 2, 3, 7, 9 (5) | None |
| Arkansas (4) | 1, 2, 3, 4 (4) | None | |
| California (53) | 1, 4, 8, 21, 22, 23, 42 (7) | 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53 (46) |
21st, 50th (2) |
| Colorado (7) | 3, 4, 5 (3) | 1, 2, 6, 7 (4) | None |
| Connecticut (5) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (5) | None | |
| Delaware (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Florida (27) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 11, 12, 16, 17, 18, 19, 25 (13) |
5, 7, 9, 10, 13, 14, 15, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 26, 27 (14) |
15th (1) |
| Georgia (14) | 1, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14 (10) | 2, 4, 5, 13 (4) | 6th (1) |
| Hawaii (2) | 1, 2 (2) | None | |
| Idaho (2) | 1, 2 (2) | None | |
| Illinois (18) | 12, 13, 15, 16, 18 (5) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 9, 10, 11, 14, 17 (13) |
None |
| Indiana (9) | 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9 (7) | 1, 7 (2) | None |
| Iowa (4) | 1, 2, 3, 4 (4) | 4th (1) | |
| Kansas (4) | 1, 4 (2) | 2, 3 (2) | 2nd (1) |
| Kentucky (6) | 1, 2, 4, 5 (4) | 3, 6 (2) | 6th (1) |
| Louisiana (6) | 1, 3, 4, 5, 6 (5) | 2 (1) | None |
| Maine (2) | 1, 2 (2) | None | |
| Maryland (8) | 1 (1) | 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, (7) | None |
| Massachusetts (9) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (9) | None | |
| Michigan (14) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10 (7) | 5, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14 (7) | None |
| Minnesota (8) | 6, 8 (2) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 (6) | 1st (1) |
| Mississippi (4) | 1, 3, 4 (3) | 2 (1) | None |
| Missouri (8) | 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8 (6) | 1, 5 (2) | None |
| Montana (1) | At-Large (1) | At-Large (1) | |
| Nebraska (3) | 1, 2, 3 (3) | None | |
| Nevada (4) | 2 (1) | 1, 3, 4 (3) | None |
| New Hampshire (2) | 1, 2 (2) | None | |
| New Jersey (12) | 4 (1) | 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 (11) | None |
| New Mexico (3) | 2 (1) | 1, 3 (2) | 2nd (1) |
| New York (27) | 1, 2, 11, 21, 23, 27 (6) | 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 22, 24, 25, 26 (21) |
11th (1) |
| North Carolina (13) | 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13 (9) | 1, 4, 9*, 12 (4) | None* |
| North Dakota (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Ohio (16) | 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 14, 15, 16 (11) |
3, 9, 11, 12, 13 (5) | 12th (1) |
| Oklahoma (5) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (5) | 5th (1) | |
| Oregon (5) | 2 (1) | 1, 3, 4, 5 (4) | None |
| Pennsylvania (18) | 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 (8) |
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 17, 18 (10) |
1st (1) |
| Rhode Island (2) | 1, 2 (2) | None | |
| South Carolina (7) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 (6) | 6 (1) | 1st (1) |
| South Dakota (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Tennessee (9) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8 (7) | 5, 9 (2) | None |
| Texas (36) | 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 19, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 31, 36 (23) |
7, 9, 15, 16, 18, 20, 28, 29, 30, 32, 33, 34, 35 (13) |
None |
| Utah (4) | 1, 2, 3 (3) | 4 (1) | None |
| Vermont (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Virginia (11) | 1, 6, 9 (3) | 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11 (8) | 5th (1) |
| Washington (10) | 3, 4, 5 (3) | 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 (7) | None |
| West Virginia (3) | 1, 2 (2) | 3 (1) | 3rd (1) |
| Wisconsin (8) | 1, 5, 6, 7, 8 (5) | 2, 3, 4 (3) | None |
| Wyoming (1) | At-Large (1) | None | |
| Totals | 193 | 242 | 17 incorrect. |
| Prediction: Dems gain House on a net 49 seat gain, losing just PA-14 and MN-8. | |||
| Result: TBD (417/434 or 96.08%) Note: The election in the 9th Congressional District in North Carolina was invalidated on suspicions of voter fraud and must be re-run in 2019. As such, only 434 elections are counted. Synopsis: I admittedly am a bit shocked at how well this prediction turned out. Save for California (two incorrect calls) all other states were either predicted to one mistake or completely correct. Frankly, this prediction is on par with the Tasmania 2018 prediction of a REALLY good read. |
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